THURSDAY, June eleven, 2020 (HealthDay Information) — Here’s a glimmer of hope about the new coronavirus: New investigation finds it seems to abide by a seasonal pattern that is related to the flu.
Experts identified that all cities/regions with large COVID-19 outbreaks have related winter season climates, with an ordinary temperature of 41 to 52 levels Fahrenheit, ordinary humidity amounts of forty seven% to seventy nine%, and are positioned in just a latitude band of 30 to fifty N.
This features Wuhan, China South Korea Japan Iran Northern Italy Seattle and northern California.
The results also propose that U.S. mid-Atlantic states may be at threat, as effectively as New England, according to researchers at the Institute of Human Virology (IHV) at the University of Maryland University of Medicine (UMSOM) and the Global Virus Community (GVN).
“Based mostly on what we have documented so far, it seems that the virus has a tougher time spreading involving persons in hotter, tropical climates,” explained analyze leader Dr. Mohammad Sajadi, an affiliate professor of medication at UMSOM, doctor-scientist at IHV, and a member of GVN.
The researchers utilized climate facts from the previous few months, as effectively as usual climate designs from previous 12 months, to predict group distribute of COVID-19 in just the subsequent few weeks.
The subsequent stage is to figure out if climate and local weather forecasts could make the predictions more reliable.
Review co-creator Dr. Anthony Amoroso explained, “I think what is critical is that this is a testable hypothesis.” Amoroso is an affiliate professor of medication at UMSOM and main of medical treatment systems for IHV.
“If it holds accurate, it could be pretty valuable for well being program planning, surveillance and containment efforts,” he added in an institute information launch.
The analyze was published on line June eleven in JAMA Community Open up.
In accordance to Dr. Robert Gallo, an IHV co-founder and director, co-founder and chairman of the Worldwide Scientific Leadership Board of GVN, and a professor at UMSOM, “By way of this intensive investigation, it has been established that climate modeling could probably explain the distribute of COVID-19, creating it feasible to predict the regions that are most possible to be at better threat of significant group distribute in the around foreseeable future.”
— Robert Preidt
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Source: Institute of Human Virology, information launch, June eleven, 2020